Ethereum Value Forecast: Ethereum Bears Sight on $5,000 as Bullish Intersection Lines Up with Federal Reserves' Rate Reduction Assumptions
In a significant development for the cryptocurrency market, Ethereum's 50-day moving average has crossed above its 200-day moving average, a technical pattern known as a 'bullish cross.' Historically, this pattern has preceded short-term rallies, and market analysts are now optimistic about Ethereum's trajectory over the coming weeks.
On September 17, 2025, BlackRock, one of the world's largest asset managers, sold 4,489 ETH worth $20.3 million. This sale represents less than 0.01% of its $12 billion Ethereum ETF holdings. While the institution that made the sale is not explicitly named, BitMine is noted for accumulating large amounts of Ethereum around this time. However, no specific sale of $20.3 million is reported for them or any other institution in late September 2025 in the provided data.
As the Federal Reserve (FED) FOMC meeting approaches in 8 hours, market data indicates a 95% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. Economic indicators such as a 6.13% mortgage rate (the lowest since 2022) and a softening jobs market, which added only 22,000 jobs in August, are factors influencing the FED's decision. Historically, the Fed has cut rates aggressively following weak employment data, which could support risk assets like Ethereum.
The FOMC meeting today is expected to discuss a potential 25-basis-point rate cut, as economic data indicates soft job growth and lower mortgage rates. This decision could have a significant impact on Ethereum's price, adding another layer of uncertainty to the market.
Traders should monitor the Ethereum price prediction 2025, upcoming FED rate decisions, and on-chain activity for insights into Ethereum's trajectory. TradingView's one-week technical analysis rates Ethereum as a 'buy,' reinforcing the bullish outlook.
A bullish scenario for Ethereum's price suggests a potential surge above $5,000, based on past data showing surges of 60% in July and 24% in August following similar signals. Blockchain data shows a 15% increase in ETH held by long-term investors since mid-2024, indicating growing market confidence.
Market analysts remain cautiously optimistic, noting that Ethereum's recent bullish cross, combined with strong accumulation and a supportive macro environment, could pave the way for a $5,000 price target if market conditions remain favorable. However, they advise market participants to remain vigilant, given the inherent volatility of Ethereum's crypto price movements.
Looking further into the future, @CryptooELITES predicts that Ethereum could reach $10,000 by November-December 2025. This prediction is buoyed by the successful upgrade to Ethereum 2.0 in 2022, which improved scalability and energy efficiency, adding further optimism to the bullish scenario.
In conclusion, the bullish cross, BlackRock's sale, the FOMC meeting, and the growing confidence of long-term investors all point towards a potentially bullish future for Ethereum. However, traders should remain vigilant and closely monitor market developments for any changes in the outlook.
