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Staggering drop in USDT market cap due to MiCA regulations

Effective from December 30, the EU's MiCA regulation for digital assets was enforced. Simultaneously, the market capitalization of USDT dropped from over $141 billion during the middle of the month.

Decrease in USDT capitalization during MiCA regulation period
Decrease in USDT capitalization during MiCA regulation period

Staggering drop in USDT market cap due to MiCA regulations

The EU's MiCA Regulation Set to Transform Stablecoin Landscape

The European Union's (EU) MiCA regulation for digital assets, which came into effect on December 30, is poised to fundamentally reshape the stablecoin market by imposing strict licensing, transparency, and reserve backing requirements on stablecoin issuers.

Under MiCA, stablecoin issuers, including large players like Tether, will be required to be licensed within the EU, maintain fully backed reserves, and publish regular audits and risk disclosures. The regulation divides stablecoins into two categories: e-money tokens (EMTs), which are pegged to a single fiat currency like the euro, and asset-referenced tokens (ARTs), which can be backed by multiple assets.

For Tether, the challenges posed by MiCA are significant. The company has not, as of mid-2025, applied for the necessary e-money license or adapted to the stringent regulatory framework. As a result, Tether’s USDT stablecoin is being delisted from EU exchanges and could face effective exclusion from regulated European crypto markets. This means European users and traders would have limited or no access to USDT on regulated platforms, likely pushing activity to offshore or unregulated venues and fragmenting the market liquidity that USDT currently dominates.

The broader impacts on the EU cryptocurrency market include increased legal clarity and investor protection through a harmonized regulatory framework covering stablecoins, phasing out of non-compliant and algorithmic stablecoins, market consolidation, a shift in liquidity and market share, and operational and integration adjustments for projects and payment processors currently reliant on non-compliant stablecoins.

MiCA also introduces a passporting system, allowing licensed stablecoin issuers to operate across all EU member states with a single license, which could enhance market efficiency and cross-border use of stablecoins within Europe.

While MiCA could potentially push some companies out of the market, regardless of size, it could also bring advantages like improved investor protection and reduced fraud risks. However, it also increases costs, potentially leading to industry consolidation and reduced competition.

Industry experts like Uldis Teraudkalns, Director of Revenue at Paybis, and Agnese Linge of WeFi, have commented on the implications of MiCA. Teraudkalns stated that MiCA transforms the EU’s cryptocurrency landscape with far-reaching implications, while Linge noted that complying with MiCA requirements could be economically burdensome for large stablecoin issuers like Tether.

In December, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino supported the view that MiCA is an "enormous gift" for traditional financial institutions, while in August, he criticized MiCA, calling it a "systemic risk" for stablecoins and the banking system. Tether, a large stablecoin issuer, is projected to make around $10 billion in profit this year, with substantial cash reserves, but its diversified income may be affected by the new regulations.

Jurisdictions close to the EU, like the UK and Switzerland, could benefit depending on their regulatory approaches. Binance and Crypto.com continue to support USDT and other stablecoins, awaiting further clarification on MiCA requirements. Most EU countries provide a transition period of 6 to 18 months for adapting to new rules.

In summary, MiCA significantly raises the regulatory bar for stablecoin issuers in the EU, demanding transparency, strong investor protections, and localized licensing, potentially sidelining uncompliant large players like Tether and promoting a more consolidated, stable, and regulated EU stablecoin market.

The MiCA regulation requires stablecoin issuers, irrespective of their size, to be licensed within the EU, maintain fully-backed reserves, and comply with regular audits and risk disclosures, impacting industry giants like Tether. In terms of technology, demonstrated compliance with MiCA could bring improved security and reduced fraud risks to the cryptocurrency market.

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